“The illusion that the new president is a friend to Russia must be abandoned, as must the notion that under him relations between Moscow and Washington will be easier than under his predecessor.”

Carnegie Russia’s Dmitri Trenin explores the risks and opportunities of a Trump presidency for Russia: [ Ceip.org Link ]

What Would Trump Presidency Mean for Russia: Risks and Opportunities

“Any serious effort to implement the proposals or ideas for dealing with the three most serious security challenges confronting the United States in Asia from Donald Trump or his advisers could lead to disastrous consequences.”

Read a new article from Michael Swaine: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Managing Asia’s Security Threats in the Trump Era

What are the potential implications of Donald Trump’s “America First” agenda for the U.S.-India relationship and what challenges may the two countries face in the new administration? Ashley J. Tellis takes a look for The National Bureau of Asian Research: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Avoiding the Labors of Sisyphus: Strengthening U.S.-India Relations in a Trump Administration

What potential challenges does China pose to the presidency of Donald Trump?

Xie Tao takes a look in a new article for the Carnegie-Tsinghua Center: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Assessing the China Challenge for Trump’s Presidency

“While the Kremlin’s return to a static political model may appear on the surface to be an unpleasant dip into the quagmire of political apathy, it could actually turn into a foundation for future reforms.”

Alexander Baunov discusses the changing shape of the Russian regime in a new paper for Carnegie Russia: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Going to the People—and Back Again: The Changing Shape of the Russian Regime

“Instead of moaning about what is still Europe’s greatest ally, EU leaders should respond to the new administration in several ways.”

Carnegie Europe’s Judy Dempsey outlines a European agenda for the Trump era: [ Ceip.org Link ]

A European Agenda for the Trump Era

“A nuclear or missile test would pose a vexing problem for the new president, and he would have few good options for an effective response.”

Richard Sokolsky and Joel Wit discuss options for President-elect Trump’s policy toward a nuclear North Korea: [ Ceip.org Link ]

North Korea: A Vexing Problem for the New U.S. President

This week at Carnegie, Vice President Biden discussed the Obama administration’s achievements in addressing the dangers posed by nuclear weapons and previewed the nuclear security challenges facing the next administration. Missed the speech? Watch our recording here: [ Ceip.org Link ]
“Moscow and Washington are in a state of confrontation, yet this confrontation might be sometimes even more dangerous than the significant part of the Cold War period.”

Dmitri Trenin discusses his new book on Russian-Western relations in a new interview with Russia Direct: [ Ceip.org Link ]

What Kind of Russia Should the West Fear?

“The EU should take Donald Trump’s arrival as U.S. president as a major wake-up call to upgrade its foreign and security policies.”

Stefan Lehne and Heather Grabbe discuss how Europe should rise to the challenges that Trump’s foreign policy may create in a new article for Carnegie Europe: [ Ceip.org Link ]

How Donald Trump Could Save EU Foreign Policy

U.S. Vice President Biden discusses the Obama administration’s achievements in addressing the dangers posed by nuclear weapons under the Prague Agenda, and preview the nuclear security challenges facing the next administration.
“A wise course of policy for all would be to focus on what can be done to maintain the high quality status quo than challenge the fundamental values of each other.”

Douglas Paal explores the future of the Taiwan-United States relationship in 2017: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Which Way Forward for Taiwan and the United States in 2017?

Past U.S. presidents have discovered that red lines against North Korea are easy to set but difficult to enforce. James Acton of the Carnegie Nuclear Policy Program discusses Donald Trump’s recent tweets on North Korea: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Can Trump Enforce His Red Line on North Korea?

There should be no more illusions, says Carnegie President Bill Burns. The U.S. relationship with Russia will remain competitive, and often adversarial, for the foreseeable future. Read more in his take for The New York Times: [ Ceip.org Link ]

How We Fool Ourselves On Russia

Rather than experience rejection at the ballot box “non-traditional” politicians with criminal pasts have been richly rewarded in India. And their playbook is strikingly similar to the one Donald Trump executed with aplomb to win the 2016 U.S. presidential election, says Milan Vaishnav: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Learn more about India’s nexus of crime and politics in a new book by Vaishnav: [...
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A Familiar Story: Donald Trump and India’s Criminal Politicians

“This time dramatic shifts in Turkish policy towards the Syrian conflict may alter everything.”

Carnegie Middle East’s Yezid Sayigh explores the prospects of the ceasefire brokered by Russia and Turkey: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Ceasefire in Syria: Turkish Policy Sets Syria on New Path

“To truly free politics from black money, the government must take concrete steps to reform political finance.”

Read Milan Vaishnav’s take on how Modi can “cleanse” political finance in India: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Purify the Parties

How will U.S. President-elect Trump approach democracy promotion policies? Thomas Carothers says that although Trump may intend to stop U.S. democracy promotion, several factors may complicate that plan: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Prospects for U.S. Democracy Promotion Under Trump

“As India’s diaspora continues to grow, so will the challenges New Delhi faces in protecting this diverse and geographically dispersed population.”

Carnegie India’s Constantino Xavier explores India’s Expatriate Evacuation Operations: [ Ceip.org Link ]

India’s Expatriate Evacuation Operations: Bringing the Diaspora Home

“The threat of Russia supplanting the United States as the dominant outside power in the Middle East has been overblown.”

Read insights from Perry Cammack and Richard Sokolsky in Carnegie Middle East’s Diwan blog: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Keep Calm