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While Iran’s foreign policy writ large exists mostly beyond the confines of confessionalism, this much is clear: as Iran’s neighborhood has become more sectarian, so has its behavior. Read a new paper from Afshon Ostovar: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Sectarian Dilemmas in Iranian Foreign Policy: When Strategy and Identity Politics Collide

ceip.org
India and Japan are using economic cooperation to advance their strategic interests and counterbalance Chinese influence in their neighborhood. Read analysis from Carnegie India’s Darshana Baruah: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Toward Strategic Economic Cooperation Between India and Japan

ceip.org
“As rebel control over eastern Aleppo crumbles, the Syrian government must feel that it is winning. Its strategy, both ruthless and relentless, has paid off.”

Aron Lund explores how Aleppo may be a turning point in the Syrian civil war in his latest for Carnegie Middle East’s Diwan blog: [ Ceip.org Link ]

A Turning Point in Aleppo

ceip.org
On December 7, Ghana, often praised as a model of democratic stability in West Africa, will hold elections. However, writes Saskia Brechenmacher, troubling political developments in the run-up to the elections have shed light on the limits of its democratic gains: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Ghana’s Vaunted Electoral Process Under Stress

ceip.org
As part of our series looking at what a Trump presidency might mean for different parts of the world, Carnegie Senior Vice President for Studies Thomas Carothers and Senior Fellow Rachel Kleinfeld discuss how the election of Donald Trump might affect global populist movements: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Carothers and Kleinfeld on What a Trump Presidency Means for Populism

ceip.org
Since the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis, there has been much talk of a new Cold War between Russia and the West. Russian President Vladimir Putin is widely seen as volatile, belligerent, and willing to use military force to get his way.

In this latest book, “Should We Fear Russia?,” Dmitri Trenin of Carnegie Russia explains why the Cold War analogy is misleading. Watch the live launch event.
Following Donald Trump’s electoral victory, Carnegie Russia asked three experts, one in Russia, one in Ukraine, and one in the United States, to comment on the question: “What impact will Trump’s victory have on Ukraine?”

Read their responses: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Three Dimensions: What Does Trump Victory Mean for Ukraine?

ceip.org
In democracies around the world, criminals routinely thrive at the ballot box. In a new, eye-opening book from Yale University Press, “When Crime Pays”, Milan Vaishnav presents the first comprehensive study of the nexus between crime, money, and politics in India, the world’s largest democracy: [ Ceip.org Link ]
What might a Trump presidency mean for the Middle East? Listen to Marwan Muasher, Michele Dunne, and Joseph Bahout discuss with Tom Carver in a new podcast, the first in a series examining what a Trump presidency means around the world: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Muasher, Dunne, and Bahout on What a Trump Presidency Means for the Middle East

ceip.org
“The EU is now paying the price of the strategic blindness that has already led to a hollowing of its relationship with Turkey.”

Read Carnegie Europe’s Sinan Ülgen on how to reshape Turkey’s relationship with Europe: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Turkey Needs a Soft Exit From the EU

ceip.org
“The Israeli siege of the Lebanese capital Beirut in Summer 1982 offers a close analogy of the choices facing both besieger and besieged in Aleppo in 2016.”

Carnegie Middle East’s Yezid Sayigh compares and contrasts the situation in Aleppo today with the situation in Beirut in 1982: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Beirut 1982, Aleppo 2016

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The EU needs to rebalance its policy response to the migration crisis by creating new pathways for legal migration and placing greater emphasis on protecting vulnerable people. Read a new article from Stefan Lehne for Carnegie Europe: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Upgrading the EU’s Migration Partnerships

ceip.org
“The central lesson from Syria should be that banking on authoritarian regimes to maintain stability in societies threatened by internal ethnic, religious, and sectarian tensions and conflict is fatally misguided.”

Heiko Wimmen explores Syria’s path from civic uprising to civil war in a new paper: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Syria’s Path From Civic Uprising to Civil War

ceip.org
Following a historic U.S. election, Carnegie scholars examine how different parts of the world are reacting to the outcome in a new podcast series. This series begins with a discussion of how President-elect Trump’s policies could impact the Middle East. It is part of our new Carnegie Podcast, which offers timely perspectives from our experts around the world on pressing global issues. Listen...
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The Carnegie Podcast

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“Angela Merkel is carrying an almost impossible burden.”

Read the latest from Carnegie Europe’s Judy Dempsey: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Merkel’s Burden

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Is the United States on a populist trajectory toward polarization and authoritarianism similar to that of Egypt?

Read Michele Dunne’s take for Carnegie Middle East’s Diwan blog: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Pharaoh in the White House?

ceip.org
“Although there is widespread agreement that Europe’s populist surge represents one of the continent’s most serious challenges, greater care is needed in the way that the debate about populism is framed.”

Read Carnegie Europe’s Richard Youngs: [ Ceip.org Link ]

How We Can Reframe the Debate About Europe’s Populist Threat

ceip.org
Russians’ high expectations of Donald Trump may be disappointed.

Read Alexander Baunov for Carnegie Russia: [ Ceip.org Link ]

America’s Trump, Russia’s Trump

ceip.org
Despite India’s impressive economic growth rates in the mid-2000s, the long-term magnitude and sustainability of this progress remains uncertain. Can India grow? V. Anantha Nageswaran and Gulzar Natarajan take a look at the economic challenges and opportunities for the country in a new report for Carnegie India: [ Ceip.org Link ]

Can India Grow? Challenges, Opportunities, and the Way Forward

ceip.org
“If Middle Eastern countries do not start making real progress on fundamental political and economic reforms, further regional turmoil is inevitable.”

Carnegie Middle East’s Marwan Muasher shares his economic ultimatum for the Arab World: [ Ceip.org Link ]

An Economic Ultimatum for the Arab World

ceip.org